Received: 14-10-2021 / Accepted: 01-03-2022
Land use changes are recognized as one of the most significant driving forces of environmental changes. This study aimed to predict land-use change in Don Duong district, Lam Dong provinceby applying the integration of GIS, Markov chain and logistic regression. The land-use maps of 2010 and 2015 were employed to predict the land-use scenario for 2020. The predicted results were compared with the observed land-use map of 2020 to validate the method using kappa index statistics. Based on the proposed model, the future land-use change prediction for 2025 and 2030 was performed. The forecast results show that Don Duong district had a significant change in land use. Converting the forest land into other land uses, especially to built-up land and annual agricultural land, is the main land-use change in the future.The resultof this study providesuseful information as the foundation for planning local land-use policies to ensure sustainable development goals.